Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.165433 0.188718 0.214639 0.245731 0.282133 0.323553 0.374458
2025-12-21 0.128071 0.158689 0.196202 0.245963 0.310856 0.393471 0.507978
2025-12-28 0.108415 0.142631 0.187605 0.251948 0.343120 0.469951 0.663803
2026-01-04 0.094364 0.130108 0.179774 0.255288 0.369823 0.541435 0.826677
2026-01-11 0.084081 0.120572 0.173706 0.258812 0.395768 0.614912 1.007855
2026-01-18 0.076844 0.114087 0.170625 0.265543 0.426790 0.701060 1.229512
2026-01-25 0.069724 0.106654 0.164774 0.266445 0.447657 0.773295 1.443418
2026-02-01 0.063570 0.099866 0.158867 0.266004 0.465556 0.842941 1.669423
2026-02-08 0.057945 0.093218 0.152241 0.263096 0.478051 0.904226 1.893762
2026-02-15 0.053048 0.087209 0.145909 0.259649 0.488633 0.963314 2.128962
2026-02-22 0.050204 0.084398 0.144792 0.265684 0.518888 1.069316 2.505438
2026-03-01 0.046314 0.079315 0.138953 0.261640 0.527366 1.129019 2.783763
2026-03-08 0.043431 0.075837 0.135829 0.262874 0.548087 1.222910 3.189313
2026-03-15 0.040677 0.072336 0.132294 0.262813 0.566075 1.314851 3.624326
2026-03-22 0.038907 0.070519 0.131828 0.269219 0.600331 1.456200 4.264898
2026-03-29 0.037010 0.068259 0.130207 0.272814 0.628440 1.588345 4.931677
2026-04-05 0.035302 0.066207 0.128776 0.276617 0.657810 1.731670 5.701988
2026-04-12 0.034040 0.064931 0.128826 0.283886 0.697716 1.916734 6.718339
2026-04-19 0.032355 0.062626 0.126414 0.284860 0.720745 2.056683 7.628236
2026-04-26 0.030699 0.060237 0.123573 0.284384 0.739679 2.189112 8.578930
2026-05-03 0.028986 0.057583 0.119877 0.281243 0.750352 2.297318 9.482594
2026-05-10 0.027373 0.055017 0.116141 0.277521 0.758689 2.400301 10.424511
2026-05-17 0.026560 0.054141 0.116239 0.284038 0.800120 2.636566 12.207771